Stocks, Trades and Ideas

$KO — Best Short Idea

[[KO]], Coca Cola

Click images to enlarge

Daily chart
On Friday it traded on almost 5 times the average volume, yet closed almost unchanged.
ko_daily

If all the lines and squiggles aren’t enough, how about selling on strength? KO topped the list on Friday, with $800MM+ outflow. In a single day. Blow-off top? volume confirms that.
selling_on_strength

Still not convinced? Warren Buffett is just about OUT OF KO. That, for me, seals it.

“A couple of years ago Buffett came out and said he wished he had sold a number of his key holdings like Coca Cola.” He specifically had said he wished he’d sold KO back in the 80’s when share price went as high as $85 (I think, too lazy to check, sorry). And he’s finally out.
ko_buffett

Weekly chart
This doesn’t look too bearish. Parabolic and over-extended? Perhaps. Bollinger Band crash trade signal? Sure, but there was one last week, too.

I’m bearish on KO, just playing devil’s advocate with myself here.
ko_weekly

My downside targets: first stop $50, then $45, and possibly $42.
Time horizon: 3 months or so.