Phantasmix Stock Market Blog

Whitney: Number of Banks Could Be Halved

Meredith Whitney made a name for herself by issuing dire predictions that proved correct, and at this week’s Milken Institute conference in Beverly Hills, Calif., she upped the ante.

The former Oppenheimer & Co. analyst, who recently started Meredith Whitney Advisory Group LLC, said the number of banks in the United States could be halved by the end of the current crisis.

“We could see [the current] 8,000 institutions go down by half or greater,” she said.

Meredith Whitney Despite bankers’ complaints about the Troubled Asset Relief Program, Whitney said she does not expect to see many of the top banking companies repay their government capital anytime soon. They will need the money to rescue weak sisters.

“You’ll see so much deck-chair movement that much of the TARP money will not be around to be repaid because many banks will be expected to absorb their neighbors,” she said. “Big banks will be forced to absorb all the liquidity that is coming out of the market and what will be interesting is if some of the smaller banks that get private capital will start to consolidate.”

Source and full text: BankInvestmentConsultant

Break out or break down? Place your bets.

Typically this would be a breakout pattern (should break above, through the flat side). However, volume is decreasing and short-term RSi has been diverging from price.

Click to enlarge

Click charts to enlarge

McClellan Oscillator

Short- to intermediate-term momentum breadth indicator. The McClellan Oscillator fluctuates between an oversold level below -100 and overbought territory above 100. Short-term buy and sell signals are given when it crosses above or below its zero (flat) line.

$BKX – Bank Index

Of course, everyone’s looking forward to May 4th to see what happens with the banks. Still, a chart is a chart